论文标题

基于替代物的优化中的预期改善与预测价值

Expected Improvement versus Predicted Value in Surrogate-Based Optimization

论文作者

Rehbach, Frederik, Zaefferer, Martin, Naujoks, Boris, Bartz-Beielstein, Thomas

论文摘要

基于替代物的优化依赖于所谓的填充标准(采集功能)来决定接下来要评估哪个点。当Kriging用作选择的替代模型(也称为贝叶斯优化)时,预计最常见的标准之一就是改善。我们认为,预期改善的普及在很大程度上依赖于其理论属性,而不是经验验证的绩效。文献中很少有结果表明,在某些条件下,预期改善的表现可能比替代模型的预测值这样的简单效果差。我们在一项关于“ BBOB”功能集的广泛实证研究中基准了两个填充标准。这项调查包括对问题维度对算法性能的影响的详细研究。结果支持以下假设:探索随着问题维度的增加而失去了重要性。统计分析表明,具有预测价值标准的纯剥削搜索在五个或更高维度的大多数问题上的性能更好。讨论了这些结果的可能原因。此外,我们还为根据目前的问题,其维度和可用预算提供了深入的指南,以选择填充标准。

Surrogate-based optimization relies on so-called infill criteria (acquisition functions) to decide which point to evaluate next. When Kriging is used as the surrogate model of choice (also called Bayesian optimization), one of the most frequently chosen criteria is expected improvement. We argue that the popularity of expected improvement largely relies on its theoretical properties rather than empirically validated performance. Few results from the literature show evidence, that under certain conditions, expected improvement may perform worse than something as simple as the predicted value of the surrogate model. We benchmark both infill criteria in an extensive empirical study on the `BBOB' function set. This investigation includes a detailed study of the impact of problem dimensionality on algorithm performance. The results support the hypothesis that exploration loses importance with increasing problem dimensionality. A statistical analysis reveals that the purely exploitative search with the predicted value criterion performs better on most problems of five or higher dimensions. Possible reasons for these results are discussed. In addition, we give an in-depth guide for choosing the infill criteria based on prior knowledge about the problem at hand, its dimensionality, and the available budget.

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