论文标题
导航系统可能会恶化交通网络的稳定性
Navigation Systems May Deteriorate Stability in Traffic Networks
论文作者
论文摘要
如今,高级交通导航系统根据实时拥塞信息为驾驶员提供路由建议,如今已被道路运输用户广泛采用。然而,到目前为止,这些工具广泛采用的源自这些工具的流量动态的新兴影响始终尚未探索。在本文中,我们提出了一个动态模型,其中驱动程序模仿了以前的驱动因素的路径偏好,并研究了其平衡点的特性。我们的模型是对经典流量分配框架的动态概括,并通过在路径决策过程和网络流量流中考虑动态来扩展它。我们表明,当旅行者通过模仿其他旅行者学习最短的道路时,总体交通系统会从这种机制中受益,并传递最大可接受的交通需求量。另一方面,我们证明,当行进延迟功能不够陡峭,或者驾驶员模仿以前的旅行者的速率未得到充分选择时,交通系统的轨迹可能无法融合到平衡点,从而失败了渐近稳定性。说明性的数值模拟与高速公路传感器的经验数据相结合说明了我们的发现。
Advanced traffic navigation systems, which provide routing recommendations to drivers based on real-time congestion information, are nowadays widely adopted by roadway transportation users. Yet, the emerging effects on the traffic dynamics originating from the widespread adoption of these tools have remained largely unexplored until now. In this paper, we propose a dynamic model where drivers imitate the path preferences of previous drivers, and we study the properties of its equilibrium points. Our model is a dynamic generalization of the classical traffic assignment framework, and extends it by accounting for dynamics both in the path decision process and in the network's traffic flows. We show that when travelers learn shortest paths by imitating other travelers, the overall traffic system benefits from this mechanism and transfers the maximum admissible amount of traffic demand. On the other hand, we demonstrate that when the travel delay functions are not sufficiently steep or the rates at which drivers imitate previous travelers are not adequately chosen, the trajectories of the traffic system may fail to converge to an equilibrium point, thus failing asymptotic stability. Illustrative numerical simulations combined with empirical data from highway sensors illustrate our findings.