论文标题
通勤网络溢出和美国县的Covid-19死亡
Commuting Network Spillovers and COVID-19 Deaths Across US Counties
论文作者
论文摘要
这项研究探讨了人口流动如何形成在美国县的通勤网络,并影响了COVID-19的传播。我们利用了3级混合效应负二项式回归模型来估计COVID-19的影响对县确认的病例和死亡的影响。我们还进行了基于加权的分析,以估计网络暴露的因果效应。结果表明,通勤网络对199名死亡和病例,空间接近,社会经济和人口统计学因素很重要。不同的当地种族和种族浓度也与不平等的结果有关。这些发现表明,通勤是Covid-19的传播中的重要因果机制,并强调了社区相互联系的重要性。结果表明,在互联场所网络中相似的努力补充时,地方一级的缓解和预防工作更加有效。讨论了对健康不平等和灵活工作安排的研究的影响。
This study explored how population mobility flows form commuting networks across US counties and influence the spread of COVID-19. We utilized 3-level mixed effects negative binomial regression models to estimate the impact of network COVID-19 exposure on county confirmed cases and deaths over time. We also conducted weighting-based analyses to estimate the causal effect of network exposure. Results showed that commuting networks matter for COVID-19 deaths and cases, net of spatial proximity, socioeconomic, and demographic factors. Different local racial and ethnic concentrations are also associated with unequal outcomes. These findings suggest that commuting is an important causal mechanism in the spread of COVID-19 and highlight the significance of interconnected of communities. The results suggest that local level mitigation and prevention efforts are more effective when complemented by similar efforts in the network of connected places. Implications for research on inequality in health and flexible work arrangements are discussed.