论文标题

按需运输的时空分析:加拿大贝尔维尔的案例研究

Spatio-Temporal Analysis of On Demand Transit: A Case Study of Belleville, Canada

论文作者

Sanaullah, Irum, Alsaleh, Nael, Djavadian, Shadi, Farooq, Bilal

论文摘要

运输的网络物理性质,GPS数据的可用性,移动应用和有效的通信技术的快速增加导致了按需运输(ODT)系统的出现。 2018年9月,加拿大贝尔维尔市开始了按需公共交通飞行员项目,深夜固定路线(RT 11)用ODT代替了提供实时乘车服务的ODT。我们基于2018年9月至2019年5月收集的数据,对Belleville ODT用户的时空需求和供应,服务水平以及起源和目的地模式进行了深入分析。人口统计学特征(人口密度,工作年龄和中位数收益)对ODT旅行的生产和吸引力水平进行了使用GIS和KIS GIS机器的研究。结果表明,在工作日的11:00 pm-11:45 pm的ODT旅行需求最高,周末8:00 pm-8:30 pm。我们希望这是用户下班或购物回家的结果。结果表明,发现39%的旅行的等待时间小于15分钟,而28%的旅行的等待时间为15-30分钟。人口密度较高,中位收入或更高的工作年龄百分比的传播区域往往具有较高的ODT旅行吸引力水平,除了具有高度吸引人的地方(如商业领域)的传播区域。

The rapid increase in the cyber-physical nature of transportation, availability of GPS data, mobile applications, and effective communication technologies have led to the emergence of On-Demand Transit (ODT) systems. In September 2018, the City of Belleville in Canada started an on-demand public transit pilot project, where the late-night fixed-route (RT 11) was substituted with the ODT providing a real-time ride-hailing service. We present an in-depth analysis of the spatio-temporal demand and supply, level of service, and origin and destination patterns of Belleville ODT users, based on the data collected from September 2018 till May 2019. The independent and combined effects of the demographic characteristics (population density, working-age, and median income) on the ODT trip production and attraction levels were studied using GIS and the K-means machine learning clustering algorithm. The results indicate that ODT trips demand is highest for 11:00 pm-11:45 pm during the weekdays and 8:00 pm-8:30 pm during the weekends. We expect this to be the result of users returning home from work or shopping. Results showed that 39% of the trips were found to have a waiting time of smaller than 15 minutes, while 28% of trips had a waiting time of 15-30 minutes. The dissemination areas with higher population density, lower median income, or higher working-age percentages tend to have higher ODT trip attraction levels, except for the dissemination areas that have highly attractive places like commercial areas.

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