论文标题

非癌症随机过程的奇异描述符

Ergodic descriptors of nonergodic stochastic processes

论文作者

Mangalam, Madhur, Kelty-Stephen, Damian G.

论文摘要

生物学和心理系统生长和稳定性的基础的随机过程在远离平衡时表明了自己。远离均衡,非效应统治。非er依性意味着群体/合奏的平均结果(即代表性生物/思想)不一定是对个体随着时间的平均结果的可靠估计。但是,对因果推论的科学兴趣表明,我们以某种方式旨在稳定地估计,从长远来看,该原因将推广到新个人。因此,有效的分析必须从波动的生理数据中提取千古的固定度量。因此,挑战是提取可以描述或量化某些无效数据(即估计值)的统计估计值(即原始测量数据)。我们表明,传统的线性统计量,例如标准偏差(SD),变异系数(CV)和均方根(RMS)可以显示出非平稳性,违反了厄尔及性假设。解决顺序结构及其潜在非线性的时间序列:分形和多纹状体,以时间独立的方式变化并实现千古假设。补充传统的线性指数,具有分形和多重指数,将赋予对随机平衡生物学和心理动力学的研究。

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for a group/ensemble (i.e., of representative organisms/minds) is not necessarily a reliable estimate of the average outcome for an individual over time. However, the scientific interest in causal inference suggests that we somehow aim at stable estimates of the cause that will generalize to new individuals in the long run. Therefore, the valid analysis must extract an ergodic stationary measure from fluctuating physiological data. So the challenge is to extract statistical estimates that may describe or quantify some of this nonergodicity (i.e., of the raw measured data) without themselves (i.e., the estimates) being nonergodic. We show that traditional linear statistics such as the standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), and root mean square (RMS) can show nonstationarity, violating the ergodic assumption. Time series of statistics addressing sequential structure and its potential nonlinearity: fractality and multifractality, change in a time-independent way and fulfill the ergodic assumption. Complementing traditional linear indices with fractal and multifractal indices would empower the study of stochastic far-from-equilibrium biological and psychological dynamics.

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