论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
A Baselined Gated Attention Recurrent Network for Request Prediction in Ridesharing
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Ridesharing has received global popularity due to its convenience and cost efficiency for both drivers and passengers and its strong potential to contribute to the implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. As a result, recent years have witnessed an explosion of research interest in the RSODP (Origin-Destination Prediction for Ridesharing) problem with the goal of predicting the future ridesharing requests and providing schedules for vehicles ahead of time. Most of the existing prediction models utilise Deep Learning. However, they fail to effectively consider both spatial and temporal dynamics. In this paper the Baselined Gated Attention Recurrent Network (BGARN), is proposed, which uses graph convolution with multi-head gated attention to extract spatial features, a recurrent module to extract temporal features, and a baselined transferring layer to calculate the final results. The model is implemented with PyTorch and DGL (Deep Graph Library) and is experimentally evaluated using the New York Taxi Demand Dataset. The results show that BGARN outperforms all the other existing models in terms of prediction accuracy.
