论文标题

运营研究模型的框架用于韧性,以恢复出惊喜事件:Covid-19期间大学运营的观察结果

A Framework for Operations Research Model Use in Resilience to Fundamental Surprise Events: Observations from University Operations during COVID-19

论文作者

Sharkey, Thomas C., Foster, Steven, Hegde, Sudeep, Kurz, Mary E., Tucker, Emily L.

论文摘要

运营研究(OR)方法已越来越多地用于建模系统使事件令人惊讶的弹性。为了建模惊喜事件,必须对其特征有了解,然后将其变成所得模型中的参数,决策和/或约束。这意味着这些模型无法(直接)处理基本的惊喜事件,这些事件是在发生之前无法定义的事件。但是,在基本的惊喜事件(例如COVID-19大流行)中,可以改编,即兴创建,即兴创建或创建,以帮助对此做出反应。我们提供了一个框架,说明大学如何应用或模型以应对大流行,从而有助于了解基本惊喜事件中的作用或模型。我们的框架包括以下改编:调整数据,添加约束,模型切换,从建模工具包中拉出以及创建新模型。这些改编中的每一个都正式呈现,通过与参与大学对大流行的反应的建模者和用户的访谈,获得了支持证据。我们讨论了该框架对或弹性的含义。

Operations research (OR) approaches have been increasingly applied to model the resilience of a system to surprise events. In order to model a surprise event, one must have an understanding of its characteristics, which then become parameters, decisions, and/or constraints in the resulting model. This means that these models cannot (directly) handle fundamental surprise events, which are events that could not be defined before they happen. However, OR models may be adapted, improvised, or created during a fundamental surprise event, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, to help respond to it. We provide a framework for how OR models were applied by a university in response to the pandemic, thus helping to understand the role of OR models during fundamental surprise events. Our framework includes the following adaptations: adapting data, adding constraints, model switching, pulling from the modeling toolkit, and creating a new model. Each of these adaptations is formally presented, with supporting evidence gathered through interviews with modelers and users involved in the university response to the pandemic. We discuss the implications of this framework for both OR and resilience.

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